Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,244$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(444 \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(33.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,189.1}{1 + 10^{-0.058 (t - 37.4)}}\) (asimptote \(2,189.1\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $101$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(14.6 \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(22.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{102.5}{1 + 10^{-0.048 (t - 35.8)}}\) (asimptote \(102.5\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $96$ on 2020-05-27
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $35,088$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(2.54 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(22.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{37,351.4}{1 + 10^{-0.031 (t - 58.5)}}\) (asimptote \(37,351.4\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $4,220$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(409 \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(20.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,156.6}{1 + 10^{-0.042 (t - 43.2)}}\) (asimptote \(4,156.6\))
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $25,897$ on 2020-05-27
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $8,401$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(2.19 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(39.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,078.4}{1 + 10^{-0.051 (t - 31.4)}}\) (asimptote \(8,078.4\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $235$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(54.3 \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(30.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{229.5}{1 + 10^{-0.061 (t - 29.0)}}\) (asimptote \(229.5\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $439$ on 2020-05-27
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $6,692$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(827 \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(26.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,753.1}{1 + 10^{-0.037 (t - 47.3)}}\) (asimptote \(6,753.1\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $313$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(42.4 \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(21.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{311.3}{1 + 10^{-0.055 (t - 34.8)}}\) (asimptote \(311.3\))
Start date 2020-03-05 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,279$ on 2020-05-27
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $11,680$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(1.99 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(30.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{11,496.3}{1 + 10^{-0.038 (t - 40.1)}}\) (asimptote \(11,496.3\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $565$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(114 \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(28.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{556.8}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 31.8)}}\) (asimptote \(556.8\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $811$ on 2020-05-27
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,805$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(554 \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(43.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,802.4}{1 + 10^{-0.077 (t - 29.3)}}\) (asimptote \(1,802.4\))
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(3.6 \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(40.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10.1}{1 + 10^{-0.071 (t - 22.5)}}\) (asimptote \(10.1\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3$ on 2020-05-27
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $57,592$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(8.86 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(28.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{55,904.8}{1 + 10^{-0.048 (t - 40.6)}}\) (asimptote \(55,904.8\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $9,364$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(1.39 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(25.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,066.7}{1 + 10^{-0.059 (t - 37.0)}}\) (asimptote \(9,066.7\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $32,763$ on 2020-05-27
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $268,619$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(2.33 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(22.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{271,565.4}{1 + 10^{-0.039 (t - 50.7)}}\) (asimptote \(271,565.4\))
Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $37,542$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(4.4 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(23.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{36,498.0}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 41.6)}}\) (asimptote \(36,498.0\))
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $229,911$ on 2020-05-27
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $231,139$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(4.23 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(34.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{225,129.1}{1 + 10^{-0.042 (t - 41.9)}}\) (asimptote \(225,129.1\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $33,072$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(5.21 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(31.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{32,032.9}{1 + 10^{-0.042 (t - 43.8)}}\) (asimptote \(32,032.9\))
Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $50,966$ on 2020-05-27
